Essays Mirrors and shards HOW THE BELARUSIAN POLITICAL COMMUNITY IS CHANGING AFTER 2020

This essay analyzes the transformation of the Belarusian political community following the 2020 protests through an examination of eight articles published within the Fifth Republic project. The analysis identifies four dominant narratives: repression as a catalyst for political action, the legitimacy crisis as a political opportunity, the role of diaspora and political exiles as new political actors, and "Caring Democracy" as an alternative political model. Each narrative demonstrates distinct mobilization potentials and limitations. The study reveals that while the Belarusian political community exists in a fragmented state—resembling a "shattered mirror"—it maintains remarkable resilience through adaptive practices of solidarity. The research suggests that integrating these diverse narratives could provide a framework for overcoming current political fragmentation while recognizing the value of multiple voices and experiences within the democratic movement.

Published in the printed edition of Baltic Worlds BW 2025:2 pages 26-31
Published on balticworlds.com on September 23, 2025

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abstract

This essay analyzes the transformation of the Belarusian political community following the 2020 protests through an examination of eight articles published within the Fifth Republic project. The analysis identifies four dominant narratives: repression as a catalyst for political action, the legitimacy crisis as a political opportunity, the role of diaspora and political exiles as new political actors, and “Caring Democracy” as an alternative political model. Each narrative demonstrates distinct mobilization potentials and limitations. The study reveals that while the Belarusian political community exists in a fragmented state—resembling a “shattered mirror”—it maintains remarkable resilience through adaptive practices of solidarity. The research suggests that integrating these diverse narratives could provide a framework for overcoming current political fragmentation while recognizing the value of multiple voices and experiences within the democratic movement.

KEYWORDS: Belarus, political community, diaspora, legitimacy, democracy, narratives, mobilization.

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  • by Marina Sokolova

    Marina Sokolova is a researcher in exile from Belarus and cofounder of the Belarusian Education and Science Association in exile.

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  • Essays are scientific articles.

    Essays are selected scholarly articles published without prior peer-review process.

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